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Through games of Mar 11, 2018.


Georgia Tech

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:161.0
Current RPI:161
Expected SOS:42
Current SOS:42
Current Record:13-19
Expected Record:13-19
Current Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Record:6-13
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-1
Current OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:224
Expected OOC SOS:179



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
13-19161.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Georgia Tech.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-10UCLA (36.0)P12N63-60L0%0.0
11-19Bethune Cookman (288.0)MEACH65-62W100%0.0
11-22UT Rio Grande Valley (229.0)WACH78-68W100%0.0
11-24North Texas (235.0)CUSAH63-49W100%0.0
11-28Northwestern (168.0)B10H52-51W100%0.0
12-1Grambling St. (249.0)SWACH63-64L0%0.0
12-3Tennessee (8.0)SECH70-77L0%0.0
12-6Wofford (129.0)SCA63-60L0%0.0
12-17Florida A&M (332.0)MEACH79-54W100%0.0
12-19Georgia (79.0)SECA80-59L0%0.0
12-22Wright St. (99.0)HorzH81-85L0%0.0
12-27Coppin St. (343.0)MEACH76-62W100%0.0
12-30Notre Dame (70.0)ACCA68-59L0%0.0
1-3Miami FL (28.0)ACCH64-54W100%0.0
1-6Yale (183.0)IvyH74-60W100%0.0
1-10Notre Dame (70.0)ACCH60-53W100%0.0
1-13Pittsburgh (217.0)ACCA54-69W100%0.0
1-18Virginia (1.0)ACCH48-64L0%0.0
1-20North Carolina (4.0)ACCA80-66L0%0.0
1-24Florida St. (54.0)ACCA88-77L0%0.0
1-28Clemson (11.0)ACCH70-72L0%0.0
1-31Syracuse (45.0)ACCH55-51W100%0.0
2-4Boston College (96.0)ACCA80-72L0%0.0
2-8Louisville (38.0)ACCA77-54L0%0.0
2-11Duke (7.0)ACCH69-80L0%0.0
2-14Wake Forest (160.0)ACCA79-62L0%0.0
2-17Virginia Tech (61.0)ACCH56-76L0%0.0
2-21Virginia (1.0)ACCA65-54L0%0.0
2-24Clemson (11.0)ACCA75-67L0%0.0
3-1North Carolina St. (64.0)ACCH78-75W100%0.0
3-3Wake Forest (160.0)ACCH64-56W100%0.0
3-6Boston College (96.0)ACCN87-77L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Georgia Tech's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Georgia Tech's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Georgia Tech.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Georgia TechACC26.0226.0232.5832.58-9.07-9.07
Boston CollegeACC3.733.7353.1253.120.230.23
VirginiaACC3.703.7093.5593.553.223.22
Notre DameACC3.703.7058.0658.060.600.60
ClemsonACC3.703.7070.0070.001.481.48
Wake ForestACC3.653.6534.4834.48-1.13-1.13
North CarolinaACC2.312.3170.5970.590.950.95
SyracuseACC2.242.2462.5062.500.560.56
North Carolina St.ACC2.232.2367.7467.740.790.79
LouisvilleACC2.192.1959.3859.380.410.41
DukeACC2.192.1978.1278.121.231.23
Virginia TechACC2.162.1664.5264.520.630.63
Florida St.ACC2.162.1663.3363.330.580.58
Miami FLACC2.162.1673.3373.331.011.01
PittsburghACC2.142.1425.8125.81-1.03-1.03
Bethune CookmanMEAC1.741.7455.1755.170.180.18
TennesseeSEC1.711.7175.0075.000.850.85
Florida A&MMEAC1.661.6625.0025.00-0.83-0.83
Grambling St.SWAC1.641.6451.7251.720.060.06
North TexasCUSA1.641.6444.8344.83-0.17-0.17
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC1.641.6444.8344.83-0.17-0.17
Coppin St.MEAC1.641.6416.1316.13-1.11-1.11
GeorgiaSEC1.611.6153.1253.120.100.10
WoffordSC1.581.5858.6258.620.270.27
NorthwesternB101.561.5646.6746.67-0.10-0.10
UCLAP121.561.5664.5264.520.450.45
Wright St.Horz1.561.5670.9770.970.660.66
YaleIvy1.561.5651.7251.720.050.05
South Carolina St.MEAC0.220.2226.6726.67-0.10-0.10
UNC GreensboroSC0.200.2077.4277.420.110.11
HamptonMEAC0.200.2051.6151.610.010.01
KentuckySEC0.190.1970.5970.590.080.08
South CarolinaSEC0.170.1750.0050.000.000.00
FloridaSEC0.170.1762.5062.500.040.04
Penn St.B100.150.1561.7661.760.040.04
Morgan St.MEAC0.150.1536.6736.67-0.04-0.04
WisconsinB100.150.1545.4545.45-0.01-0.01
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.150.1556.2556.250.020.02
DartmouthIvy0.150.1523.0823.08-0.08-0.08
VanderbiltSEC0.140.1437.5037.50-0.04-0.04
MercerSC0.130.1353.3353.330.010.01
Grand CanyonWAC0.130.1365.6265.620.040.04
Chicago St.WAC0.120.123.333.33-0.12-0.12
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.120.1216.6716.67-0.08-0.08
Texas SouthernSWAC0.120.1244.1244.12-0.01-0.01
Western CarolinaSC0.120.1236.6736.67-0.03-0.03
Delaware St.MEAC0.120.126.676.67-0.11-0.11
HowardMEAC0.120.1225.8125.81-0.06-0.06
Savannah St.MEAC0.120.1243.3343.33-0.02-0.02
IndianaB100.120.1251.6151.610.000.00
Michigan St.B100.120.1287.8887.880.090.09
LSUSEC0.120.1254.8454.840.010.01
SeattleWAC0.100.1056.6756.670.010.01
The CitadelSC0.100.1027.5927.59-0.05-0.05
SamfordSC0.100.1026.6726.67-0.05-0.05
Norfolk St.MEAC0.100.1043.3343.33-0.01-0.01
FurmanSC0.100.1067.7467.740.040.04
SouthernSWAC0.100.1041.9441.94-0.02-0.02
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.100.1051.6151.610.000.00
ColumbiaIvy0.100.1026.9226.92-0.05-0.05
BryantNEC0.100.109.689.68-0.08-0.08
LehighPat0.100.1051.7251.720.000.00
Cleveland St.Horz0.100.1032.3532.35-0.03-0.03
DetroitHorz0.100.1020.0020.00-0.06-0.06
NebraskaB100.100.1068.7568.750.040.04
Texas TechB120.100.1072.7372.730.040.04
MichiganB100.100.1079.4179.410.060.06
Green BayHorz0.100.1033.3333.33-0.03-0.03
La SalleA100.100.1040.6240.62-0.02-0.02
RichmondA100.100.1037.5037.50-0.02-0.02
Ohio St.B100.100.1075.0075.000.050.05
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.100.1053.3353.330.010.01
West VirginiaB120.100.1070.5970.590.040.04
StanfordP120.100.1054.5554.550.010.01
MississippiSEC0.100.1037.5037.50-0.02-0.02
Mississippi St.SEC0.090.0965.6265.620.030.03
ArkansasSEC0.090.0967.6567.650.030.03
Alcorn St.SWAC0.080.0825.0025.00-0.04-0.04
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.080.0832.1432.14-0.03-0.03
HarvardIvy0.080.0856.6756.670.010.01
PennIvy0.080.0874.1974.190.040.04
RiceCUSA0.080.0817.2417.24-0.05-0.05
BrownIvy0.080.0838.4638.46-0.02-0.02
New Mexico St.WAC0.080.0883.3383.330.050.05
PrincetonIvy0.080.0842.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.080.0828.5728.57-0.03-0.03
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.080.0833.3333.33-0.03-0.03
UMKCWAC0.080.0827.5927.59-0.03-0.03
VMISC0.080.0825.0025.00-0.04-0.04
CharlotteCUSA0.080.0817.8617.86-0.05-0.05
Coastal CarolinaSB0.080.0837.9337.93-0.02-0.02
CornellIvy0.080.0840.7440.74-0.01-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.080.0830.7730.77-0.03-0.03
Utah ValleyWAC0.080.0865.5265.520.020.02
CreightonBE0.080.0864.5264.520.020.02
IowaB100.080.0842.4242.42-0.01-0.01
Oklahoma St.B120.080.0857.5857.580.010.01
IllinoisB100.080.0841.9441.94-0.01-0.01
MinnesotaB100.080.0846.8846.88-0.00-0.00
North FloridaASun0.070.0736.6736.67-0.02-0.02
CaliforniaP120.070.0725.8125.81-0.04-0.04
JacksonvilleASun0.070.0737.9337.93-0.02-0.02
UNC AshevilleBSth0.070.0761.2961.290.020.02
WashingtonP120.070.0762.5062.500.020.02
RutgersB100.070.0742.4242.42-0.01-0.01
GeorgetownBE0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
High PointBSth0.070.0740.7440.74-0.01-0.01
South DakotaSum0.070.0773.3373.330.030.03
MarylandB100.070.0758.0658.060.010.01
NavyPat0.070.0761.2961.290.020.02
DelawareCAA0.070.0738.7138.71-0.02-0.02
MonmouthMAAC0.070.0735.4835.48-0.02-0.02
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.070.0763.3363.330.020.02
Texas A&MSEC0.070.0762.5062.500.020.02
VCUA100.070.0754.5554.550.010.01
ArizonaP120.070.0779.4179.410.040.04
MilwaukeeHorz0.070.0748.3948.39-0.00-0.00
OhioMAC0.070.0743.3343.33-0.01-0.01
OregonP120.070.0764.7164.710.020.02
DePaulBE0.070.0735.4835.48-0.02-0.02
PurdueB100.070.0782.3582.350.050.05
OaklandHorz0.070.0757.5857.580.010.01
PresbyterianBSth0.070.0727.5927.59-0.03-0.03
TempleAmer0.070.0753.1253.120.000.00
Sacred HeartNEC0.070.0730.0030.00-0.03-0.03
AuburnSEC0.070.0778.1278.120.040.04
Ball St.MAC0.070.0758.0658.060.010.01
MissouriSEC0.070.0761.2961.290.020.02
Central ConnecticutNEC0.070.0743.7543.75-0.01-0.01
DavidsonA100.070.0765.6265.620.020.02
ColgatePat0.070.0758.0658.060.010.01
Alabama A&MSWAC0.050.059.689.68-0.04-0.04
Alabama St.SWAC0.050.0525.8125.81-0.03-0.03
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
ChattanoogaSC0.050.0525.8125.81-0.03-0.03
East Tennessee St.SC0.050.0571.8871.880.020.02
FIUCUSA0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Jackson St.SWAC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Louisiana TechCUSA0.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.050.0512.5012.50-0.04-0.04
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
UT ArlingtonSB0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
UTEPCUSA0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
UTSACUSA0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Boston UniversityPat0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.050.0576.6776.670.030.03
OklahomaB120.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
Southern MissCUSA0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
East CarolinaAmer0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
McNeese St.Slnd0.050.0532.0032.00-0.02-0.02
UC IrvineBW0.050.0548.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Washington St.P120.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Western KentuckyCUSA0.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
ArmyPat0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
DrakeMVC0.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
George WashingtonA100.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Georgia SouthernSB0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
HoustonAmer0.050.0578.7978.790.030.03
LibertyBSth0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
Loyola MDPat0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
QuinnipiacMAAC0.050.0536.3636.36-0.01-0.01
AlbanyAE0.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
IonaMAAC0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
St. BonaventureA100.050.0578.1278.120.030.03
Charleston SouthernBSth0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Gardner WebbBSth0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
FordhamA100.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
CincinnatiAmer0.050.0588.2488.240.040.04
ColoradoP120.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
HofstraCAA0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
IUPUIHorz0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.050.0580.6580.650.030.03
Northern KentuckyHorz0.050.0568.9768.970.020.02
Oregon St.P120.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
USCP120.050.0567.6567.650.020.02
UtahP120.050.0563.3363.330.010.01
Youngstown St.Horz0.050.0520.0020.00-0.03-0.03
ConnecticutAmer0.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Murray St.OVC0.050.0582.7682.760.030.03
ToledoMAC0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
TulaneAmer0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
AlabamaSEC0.050.0555.8855.880.010.01
Austin PeayOVC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Rhode IslandA100.050.0578.1278.120.030.03
St. Francis NYNEC0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
St. Francis PANEC0.050.0557.1457.140.010.01
TexasB120.050.0557.5857.580.010.01
Wichita St.Amer0.050.0578.1278.120.030.03
Northern IowaMVC0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
HartfordAE0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
MaineAE0.050.0513.3313.33-0.03-0.03
ProvidenceBE0.050.0561.7661.760.010.01
Cal PolyBW0.030.0324.1424.14-0.01-0.01
Indiana St.MVC0.030.0337.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Louisiana MonroeSB0.030.0346.4346.43-0.00-0.00
MarshallCUSA0.030.0369.7069.700.010.01
Nicholls St.Slnd0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
Old DominionCUSA0.030.0378.1278.120.010.01
San DiegoWCC0.030.0356.6756.670.000.00
SMUAmer0.030.0351.5251.520.000.00
South FloridaAmer0.030.0331.2531.25-0.01-0.01
StetsonASun0.030.0328.5728.57-0.01-0.01
TCUB120.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
Texas St.SB0.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
UABCUSA0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
VermontAE0.030.0378.7978.790.010.01
Colorado St.MWC0.030.0332.2632.26-0.01-0.01
HawaiiBW0.030.0353.5753.570.000.00
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.030.0343.7543.75-0.00-0.00
ValparaisoMVC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Arizona St.P120.020.0264.5264.520.010.01
Central ArkansasSlnd0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
DuquesneA100.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
FairfieldMAAC0.020.0251.5251.520.000.00
Houston BaptistSlnd0.020.0210.7110.71-0.02-0.02
Kent St.MAC0.020.0248.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.020.0284.3884.380.020.02
Miami OHMAC0.020.0245.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Missouri St.MVC0.020.0253.1253.120.000.00
MontanaBSky0.020.0277.4277.420.010.01
Morehead St.OVC0.020.0222.2222.22-0.01-0.01
RadfordBSth0.020.0262.5062.500.010.01
Robert MorrisNEC0.020.0248.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Saint LouisA100.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
TowsonCAA0.020.0253.3353.330.000.00
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.020.0270.0070.000.010.01
UMBCAE0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01
BuffaloMAC0.020.0275.7675.760.010.01
Cal St. FullertonBW0.020.0262.0762.070.010.01
Eastern MichiganMAC0.020.0258.6258.620.000.00
ElonCAA0.020.0240.0040.00-0.00-0.00
EvansvilleMVC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
George MasonA100.020.0248.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Iowa St.B120.020.0241.9441.94-0.00-0.00
KansasB120.020.0279.4179.410.010.01
Kansas St.B120.020.0266.6766.670.010.01
LipscombASun0.020.0268.9768.970.010.01
MarquetteBE0.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
MassachusettsA100.020.0239.3939.39-0.01-0.01
MemphisAmer0.020.0261.7661.760.010.01
Nebraska OmahaSum0.020.0224.1424.14-0.01-0.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.020.0241.3841.38-0.00-0.00
Portland St.BSky0.020.0256.6756.670.000.00
Saint Mary'sWCC0.020.0284.8584.850.020.02
San Diego St.MWC0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01
Seton HallBE0.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
SienaMAAC0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
St. John'sBE0.020.0246.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.020.0280.0080.000.010.01
UNLVMWC0.020.0260.6160.610.010.01
USC UpstateASun0.020.0210.7110.71-0.02-0.02
VillanovaBE0.020.0288.2488.240.020.02
WinthropBSth0.020.0257.1457.140.000.00
BucknellPat0.020.0273.5373.530.010.01
PortlandWCC0.020.0224.1424.14-0.01-0.01